BuyingLending August 13, 2026

Thinking About Waiting for Lower Mortgage Rates? Read This First.

Imagine waiting a year to buy a home, only to find mortgage rates haven’t changed much. That may sound frustrating.But it’s a real possibility.

A lot of people are putting their plans on hold because they believe much lower mortgage rates are right around the corner. But, based on today’s forecasts, that may not happen. And you should know that before you decide what to do.

Let’s look at why experts don’t expect a dramatic drop in rates – and the options that could help you buy anyway. Because even if rates don’t fall, you can still move. Here’s how.

1. Mortgage Rates Aren’t Expected To Fall in a Meaningful Way

If you’re waiting for rates to fall, you’re not alone. A recent survey from Clever-Best Interest found 42% of people believe mortgage rates will drop below 5% this year.

The challenge is, that’s not what the experts who study mortgage rates every day are expecting.

Forecasts from Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association, and Wells Fargo all show mortgage rates staying relatively steady in the low-to-mid 6% range through at least mid-2027 (see graph below):

a graph with numbers and lines

Why? Rates are influenced by inflation, the overall economy, Treasury yields, Federal Reserve policy, global events, and a lot of other moving pieces. And right now, those factors simply aren’t pointing toward the kind of dramatic rate drop many buyers are waiting for.

Could rates move a little? Of course. But if you’re holding out for a bigger drop, today’s forecasts suggest you may be waiting a lot longer than you expect.

2. Inflation Is Still Elevated – And That’s Working Against Lower Rates

One reason experts aren’t expecting rates to fall much? Inflation. Generally speaking, high inflation is the enemy of lower mortgage rates.

And after a period of relative stability from mid 2023 to late 2025, recent data shows inflation has actually been trending higher lately (see graph below):

a graph of a number of people

In other words, one of the biggest ingredients needed for much lower mortgage rates simply isn’t in place today. That helps explain why experts aren’t forecasting the kind of meaningful decline so many buyers are hoping for.

3. Today’s Rates Aren’t High, They’re “Normal”

And this may be the biggest mindset shift of all. The reality is, while today’s rates may feel high compared to a few years ago, they’re not high. They’re normal.

Historically, mortgage rates have spent the majority of their time somewhere between about 5% and 10%. And data from Freddie Mac shows we’re actually well in that range today. It just feels high because we all remember the ultra-low rates homeowners got during the pandemic (see graph below):

a graph of a graph showing the rise of a mortgage rate

Now, this doesn’t suddenly make a 6% mortgage feel exciting. But it does remind us that waiting for super low rates again may not be a realistic strategy.

So… What Should You Do Instead?

None of this is meant to convince you that you have to buy today. You don’t. But if you need to because something in your life’s changed, there are still ways to find better affordability without waiting for mortgage rates to fall.

  • Check out newly built homes. Many builders are offering incentives to attract buyers, including price cuts, potentially lower rates, free upgrades, and more.
  • Ask about an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). If you don’t plan to stay in the home long-term, an ARM may offer a lower initial interest rate than a traditional 30-year fixed mortgage. It’s not the right choice for everyone, but it’s worth asking a lender if it fits your plans.
  • Look into mortgage rate buydowns. This is when you pay upfront to reduce your mortgage rate so you can get for a lower monthly payment without waiting for rates to fall.
  • Find out about assumable mortgages. An assumable mortgage allows you to take over the seller’s existing loan, including its lower mortgage rate.

The important thing is you shouldn’t assume waiting is your only option.

Talk with your real estate agent and lender about whether one of these strategies could be a good fit for you.

Bottom Line

If you’ve been putting your home search on hold because you’re convinced mortgage rates will be much lower soon, it may be worth taking another look at that strategy.

Give me a call so you have an expert who can at least walk you through your options and decide whether waiting really puts you in a better position – or just keeps you on the sidelines a little longer.

 

Keeping Current Matters

Market TrendsSelling August 5, 2026

The “Zillow Tax”: Why Homes on Zillow Sold for 1.3% Less

When it comes to selling your home, every decision matters—including where and when your property is marketed. For years, many homeowners have assumed that getting their home on Zillow as quickly as possible was the key to attracting buyers and achieving the highest price. However, emerging research is challenging that long-held belief.

The report below takes a closer look at how public listing sites can influence buyer perception, negotiating leverage, and ultimately a home’s sale price. Whether or not you agree with every conclusion, it raises important questions about the value of a thoughtful marketing strategy versus simply maximizing online exposure from day one.

As a real estate professional, I believe homeowners deserve to understand all of their options before making one of their largest financial decisions. An informed seller is an empowered seller. I encourage you to read the research below and consider how a strategic, phased marketing approach may help protect your home’s value and put you in the strongest possible negotiating position.

Suzanne

*************************************************
Compass International Holdings Market Research

 

For years, Zillow has led sellers to believe that getting their home on Zillow.com quickly was important to sell their home. But new research analyzing over 300,000 homes revealed: homes on Zillow consistently sold for less. We call this loss the “Zillow Tax.”


The Hidden Cost of Listing on Zillow


To understand the financial impact of listing on Zillow, Compass Chief Economist Mike Simonsen and Chief Data Officer Dave Crosby analyzed the performance of listings that did not appear on Zillow, and compared them to nearly 300,000 listings that did. The analysis proved that homes listed on Zillow sell for 1.3% less, on average, than homes that were not on Zillow. The Zillow Tax on the U.S. median existing-home sale price of $430,000  translates to a $5,590 loss. 


The “Zillow Tax” Hurts Sellers 


Zillow wasn’t created to protect homeowner value – it is a lead-generation website built to make Zillow money at the expense of sellers. Zillow sells leads, not homes.

There is not a single feature on a Zillow listing page built to help sellers protect the value of their home; in fact, Zillow reduces the home’s sales price:

  • Days on Market: When a buyer sees a home that’s been on the market a long time, their perception is that there is something wrong with the property.
  • Price Cut History: Publicly showing every price cut makes it look like the seller is desperate, which encourages buyers to ask for even bigger discounts.
  • Algorithmic Zestimate: Often the Zestimate is less than the value of the home.
  • Climate Risk, Flood Risk & Fire Risk: By showing these unofficial and arbitrary risks, Zillow makes the home look less valuable.
  • False Advertising: Zillow routes buyers to third-party agents who paid for the lead and often divert the buyer inquiry away from the home. A Wharton School study found that nearly 99.7% of consumers mistakenly believe that Zillow’s “Contact Agent” button connects them to the listing agent.

Independent research points the same direction. Dr. Darren Hayunga, a professor at the University of Georgia, studied 20 years of Dallas-Fort Worth home sales and found that sellers who avoided the “negotiation discount” from having days on marketing and price drop history  on the MLS and Portals sold for 1.7% more, with the premium jumping to over 8% for luxury properties.


Why Do Some Of The Largest Home Builders Avoid Zillow


If exposure on Zillow was truly necessary to maximize price, the most sophisticated home builders in the world would rely on it. But they do not.

80 Clarkson Street, the condominium built by Zeckendorf Development, achieved over $1 Billion in contracted sales, including the most expensive home in downtown Manhattan history, without a single listing ever appearing on Zillow. If Zillow truly helped them get the best price, these industry leaders would certainly be using it.


Protecting Your Home’s Value


The “Zillow Tax” isn’t inevitable. Sellers have a choice. By choosing a phased marketing strategy, sellers can test price, receive feedback, build buyer interest and create buyer urgency before the clock starts, and reduce risk.


Methodology

Compass economists analyzed 296,966 Compass listings posted between January 2025 and May 2026, 806 of which experienced a Zillow ban.

The median sale-to-list price ratio for banned listings is 100%, compared with 98.7% for non-banned listings. Using quantile regression, we can confirm the difference of 1.3 p.p. (± 0.8 p.p.) is statistically significant. Additionally, 50.5% of banned listings sell at or above their list price, compared with 44.6% of non-banned listings—a difference of 5.9 p.p. (± 5.6 p.p.) that is also statistically significant. This trend persists when controlling for market, price, agent, and pre-marketing strategy.

The analysis also found that when comparing homes banned by Zillow to homes not banned by Zillow, there is no significant difference in the likelihood or speed of a home going under contract.

For listings banned by Zillow, 34% signed a contract within 30 days, compared with 36% of non-banned listings. The observed raw difference of -2.1 percentage points falls within the margin of error (± 3.3 p.p.) and is statistically insignificant. Controlling for market, price, and agent results in a difference of 2.5 p.p. (± 3.2 p.p.), which remains statistically insignificant. We measured the likelihood of homes going pending in all time horizons—not just 30 days—and found no significant difference in performance between banned and non-banned listings.

Market Trends July 28, 2026

Roseville and Granite Bay Real Estate Market Update: July 2026

Wondering if now is a good time to buy or sell a home in Roseville or Granite Bay? The latest market data shows both communities remain strong, but each offers different opportunities for buyers and sellers.

Here’s what you need to know about the July 2026 housing market.

Roseville Real Estate Market Remains Competitive

Roseville continues to be one of the Sacramento region’s most desirable places to live. With excellent schools, parks, shopping, and convenient access to major employers, buyer demand remains steady.

Roseville Market Highlights

  • Average Sales Price: $730,000
  • Median List Price: $707,000
  • Average Sale-to-List Price: 99.8%
  • Homes Sold: 137
  • Months of Inventory: 2.64

Although inventory has increased by 25% compared to the previous three-month average, the market still favors sellers. Less than three months of inventory means well-priced homes continue to sell quickly.

What This Means for Sellers

If you’re considering selling your Roseville home, buyers are still willing to pay close to asking price. Proper pricing, professional photography, and strategic marketing remain the keys to attracting strong offers.

What This Means for Buyers

The increase in available homes gives buyers more choices than earlier this year. While competition still exists, there is more opportunity to find the right home without the intense bidding wars that defined recent years.


Granite Bay Luxury Market Continues to Perform Well

Granite Bay remains one of Northern California’s premier luxury real estate markets. Buyers continue to seek larger homes, custom properties, and neighborhoods known for top-rated schools and an exceptional quality of life.

Granite Bay Market Highlights

  • Average Sales Price: $1.49 million
  • Median List Price: $1.35 million
  • Average Sale-to-List Price: 97%
  • Homes Sold: 24
  • Months of Inventory: 2.96

Home values continue to show strength, with the average sales price increasing 5% over the previous three-month average.

What This Means for Sellers

Low inventory continues to benefit Granite Bay homeowners. Buyers remain active, especially for homes that are updated, well-maintained, and priced appropriately.

What This Means for Buyers

Luxury buyers have more negotiating room than they did during the height of the market, but desirable properties are still moving quickly. Being prepared with financing and working with an experienced local agent can make a significant difference.


Is It a Buyer’s or Seller’s Market?

Both Roseville and Granite Bay remain seller-leaning markets, but conditions are becoming more balanced.

For sellers:

  • Low inventory continues to support home values.
  • Well-prepared homes are attracting strong offers.
  • Pricing correctly is more important than ever.

For buyers:

  • Inventory is slowly improving.
  • There are more options available than earlier this year.
  • Homes are still selling quickly, so preparation is key.

Thinking About Buying or Selling?

Every neighborhood has its own market trends. The value of your home depends on much more than citywide averages, including location, condition, upgrades, lot size, and current buyer demand.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling in Roseville, Granite Bay, Rocklin, Loomis, Lincoln, or the surrounding Placer County communities, I’d be happy to provide a personalized market analysis and answer your questions.

Whether you’re planning a move this year or simply want to know what your home is worth, having current local market information can help you make confident decisions.

Contact me today for a complimentary home value consultation or to discuss your real estate goals.

Here are a few Questions and Answers:

Is it a good time to buy a home in Roseville, CA?
Yes. Buyers have more inventory than earlier this year, while home values remain relatively stable. Working with a local real estate professional can help you identify opportunities in a competitive market.

Is Granite Bay a seller’s market?
Yes. With less than three months of inventory and rising average sales prices, Granite Bay continues to favor sellers, particularly in the luxury home segment.

How much are homes selling for in Roseville?
As of July 2026, the average sales price for a single-family home in Roseville is approximately $730,000, with homes selling for nearly 100% of their asking price on average.

How much are homes selling for in Granite Bay?
The average sales price for a single-family home in Granite Bay is approximately $1.49 million, reflecting continued strength in the luxury housing market.

Market Trends July 21, 2026

What To Expect from the Housing Market in the Second Half of 2026

If the first half of this year has left you feeling stuck, you’re not the only one. Mortgage rates stayed higher than people wanted. Affordability remained tight. And uncertainty overseas added another layer of pressure nobody saw coming.

That’s why so many people are asking the same question: Will the second half of the year be any better for the housing market?

While nobody has a crystal ball, there are a few encouraging signs things could start moving in a better direction. Here’s what to watch.

Mortgage Rates Could Be Near a Turning Point 

One of the biggest reasons mortgage rates haven’t come down yet is inflation. And higher energy prices and uncertainty overseas are at least part of the reason inflation is still elevated. The encouraging news?

Oil prices have already started coming back down.

That may not sound like it has much to do with buying a home. But historically, mortgage rates and oil prices tend to move in the same direction.

Take a look at the graph below. Generally, they rise and fall together. Both went up in February when the conflict began. While there’s been some volatility lately, experts at the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) say oil prices are forecast to come down. And since oil prices have been on an overall downward trend lately, mortgage rates could come down too:

a graph showing the price of a mortgage rate

It’s too soon to say exactly when that will happen (or by how much they’ll fall), but if energy prices go down, inflation cools off, and tensions overseas ease, mortgage rates could come down in the second half of the year.

And that’s good news for anyone thinking about moving. The first half of the year tested everyone’s patience. The second half may finally reward it.

Home Prices Could Pick Back Up

A lot of people want home prices to fall too. But that’s not what most forecasts show.

While price trends are going to vary by area, and some places are seeing mild declines, experts still expect home prices to net positive this year at the national level.

In fact, they’re projecting prices will rise by an average of 2.3% in 2026 (see graph below):

a graph of blue rectangular objects

What does that mean for you? Right now, Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)data shows prices are up about 1.7% nationally year-over-year. The average forecast for all of 2026? 2.3%.

Based on those projections, home price growth would have to pick up a bit during the second half of the year. Nothing dramatic, just enough to finish the year around that projected 2.3% gain.

Here’s why that’s possible.

The number of homes for sale has grown, but that growth may be starting to slow down. And if rates improve, more buyers could jump back into the market. More buyers competing could put modest upward pressure on prices, especially if inventory’s not growing as fast.

That’s why buyers shouldn’t assume waiting will guarantee a lower price later. And for sellers, that’s great news if you’ve been worried about your home’s value.

More Homes Are Expected To Sell

If you’ve been wondering why the housing market has felt quieter lately, you’re not imagining it. Home sales have been slower than many experts expected. But that doesn’t mean people have stopped wanting to move.

A lot of people still want or need to make a change. They’ve just been waiting for more certainty, better affordability, or a clearer read on where the market is headed. And early signs show that may be on the horizon.

If rates ease and confidence improves, more people may finally move. As Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, explains:

Overall, we expect pent-up demand to continue emerging gradually. But the pace of recovery will vary significantly across markets and will depend on the path of rates, labor market conditions and inventory growth.”

Based on the latest forecasts, to hit the number of sales expected this year, here’s what would have to happen. The second half of the year would need to outperform the first in sales (see graph below):

a graph of sales and statistics

In fact, each month for the rest of 2026 would have to come close to matching the best month we’ve had so far this year (May). That’s a sign the experts are calling for more momentum headed into the second half.

More people will finally make their move happen – and you’ve got the chance to be one of them.

Bottom Line

The second half of the year probably won’t be perfect. But it could be better.

Mortgage rates may ease. Home sales could pick up. And prices are expected to continue rising at a healthier, more sustainable pace. If you’ve been waiting for signs of progress, this is it.

If you want to understand what these forecasts mean for your plans and what’s happening in your local market, give me a call.

 

Keeping Current Matters
Market Trends July 14, 2026

Think Home Prices Will Crash? Here’s What the Experts Actually Expect.

One of the biggest reasons buyers are still sitting on the sidelines is because they think home prices are going to come down.

  • Some believe a crash is coming and they’ll get a better deal if they hold off.
  • Others worry they’ll buy now and watch their home’s value fall later.

And nobody wants to overpay or buy right before values drop. But here’s the question worth asking:

What if the crash you’re waiting for isn’t actually coming?

Because that’s what the latest data suggests.

Experts Are Not Calling for a Crash

If you’ve spent any time online lately, you’ve seen posts claiming home prices are about to come crashing down. And it’s true that some markets are seeing small price declines right now.

But that’s not the same thing as a nationwide crash.

While some places are going through a price adjustment, Realtor.com data shows home prices are still rising in 71% of housing markets across the country.

The trouble is, since negative news sells, you’re seeing more coverage about how a handful of markets are seeing declines, than how the majority are still seeing prices rise. And that’s unfortunate.

It’s exactly why a lot of buyers end up with the impression that prices are falling everywhere when they’re not. So how do you really know where prices are really headed from here?

That’s where the Home Price Expectations Survey (HPES) from Fannie Mae comes in.

Home Prices Will Rise for the Next 5 Years

Every quarter, more than 100 economists, housing experts, and market analysts are asked where they think home prices are headed based on the latest data available.

And despite all the uncertainty in today’s market, there’s one thing they largely agreed on:

They don’t think a crash is coming.

In fact, the average of all of their forecasts calls for home prices to rise every year for at least the next 5 years (see graph below):

a graph with green rectangles and numbers

The point is that the overwhelming expectation isn’t for prices to fall. It’s for prices to rise at a more normal pace. And just in case you’re looking at the forecasts and saying: “of course they’d say that” – know that this survey doesn’t just include optimists. It includes pessimists too.

Even the Pessimists Aren’t Predicting a Crash

Researchers broke the panel into groups based on how bullish or bearish they were about housing. The result? Even the most pessimistic group still expects home prices to climb over the next five years.

Optimists think we’ll see prices go up roughly 4% a year. Pessimists say it’ll be closer to 1%. The reality may be somewhere in the middle.

a graph of growth rate for home prices

Think about that for a second. The debate among experts isn’t whether prices will crash. It’s how much they’ll rise.

That’s a very different conversation than the one happening across social media.

This Means Waiting Could Actually Cost You

So, if you’re putting off your move until prices come down, you may be disappointed. According to the experts, a widespread crash isn’t in the cards.

In fact, based on the HPES forecast, a buyer who purchased a $400,000 home this January would gain nearly $40,000 in equity over the next five years from appreciation alone, even in this more moderate market (see below):

a graph of growth in a chart

Of course, this all depends on local market conditions. This forecast is a national average. But broadly speaking, if the experts are right, the bigger risk isn’t that prices will crash. It may be waiting for a crash that never comes.

Because depending on your market, if you wait, you could be missing out on $40k in equity or paying 40k more in 5 years for the same house.

Bottom Line

A lot of buyers are waiting because they think prices will fall, but that’s not what the experts are saying.

If you’re trying to decide whether waiting still makes sense, give me a call. I can help you understand what’s happening in your local market and what it could mean for your plans.

 

-Keeping Current Matters
Market TrendsSelling June 30, 2026

The 1 Factor That Explains Everything Happening with Home Prices Right Now

You’ve probably heard that home prices are cooling off. And that’s true – nationally. But zoom in on individual markets across the country, and the picture looks completely different depending on where you are.

Some areas are still seeing solid price growth. Others have gone flat. A few have actually dipped slightly negative. So, what’s causing all of that variation? 

It All Comes Down to Inventory

Here’s the simple version:

  1. When there are more homes for sale, buyers have options.
  2. More options, means less competition.
  3. Less competition means sellers can’t push prices as high.

On the flip side, when inventory is tight, buyers are competing over a small pool of homes, and that pushes prices up.

That dynamic is playing out right now in a really visible way across the country.

Markets where inventory has climbed back to, or above, normal pre-pandemic levels are seeing prices flatten or fall slightly. Markets where inventory is still well below those 2019 benchmarks are still seeing prices rise. As Lance Lambert, CEO of ResiClubputs it:

“Home prices are still climbing a little year-over-year in many regions where active inventory remains well below pre-pandemic 2019 levels, such as pockets of the Northeast and Midwest.

In contrast, some pockets in states like Texas, Florida, and Colorado — where active inventory exceeds pre-pandemic 2019 levels by a solid clip — are seeing modest home price pullbacks or flat pricing.”

The Maps Say It All 

Take a look at where inventory stands today compared to 2019. In most places (the states in gray below), inventory still falls short of where we were back then. And that’s exactly why prices are climbing, albeit moderately, in the vast majority of states.

But you’re probably more interested in where prices are falling a bit, since that’s what is making headlines. So, let’s prove out how much inventory affects prices in those spots.

According to Realtor.com, 15 states and Washington, D.C. are now back above pre-pandemic inventory levels, and some by a wide margin (see the orange in the map below):

a map of the united statesNow, let’s look at the latest Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) data to see what’s happened to home prices in those same states over the past year (again, you’ll want to focus on the orange in the next map).

See how those line up pretty closely with the areas seeing more homes for sale today?

The overlap isn’t a coincidence. It’s cause and effect.

a map of the united states

The national average of 1.7% price growth is accurate, but it’s an average of two very different stories happening at the same time – the few areas experiencing mild declines and the overwhelming majority that are still seeing prices rise.

What This Means If You’re Buying or Selling 

If you’re a buyer, the market you’re shopping in matters a lot right now. In places like Texas, Colorado, or Florida, you may have real negotiating power – more choices, less competition, and sellers who are more motivated to make a deal. In tighter markets like much of the Northeast, you’re still likely facing a lot of competition.

If you’re a seller, pricing strategy is everything. In markets where inventory has risen, overpricing is one of the fastest ways to linger on the market and eventually sell for less than you would have with the right price from day one. In markets where inventory is still low, you’re in a strong spot, but getting your price right still matters if you want to attract serious buyers quickly. Either way, that’s where a local real estate agent earns their keep.

Bottom Line

When it comes to prices, where you are matters more than ever right now, and I can help you make sense of it.

Give me a call today and we will work together to build a plan that fits your market.

 

Keeping Current Matters
Market Trends June 16, 2026

Placer County Real Estate Market Update June 2026: Roseville & Granite Bay Housing Trends

Placer County Real Estate Market Update: What the Latest Roseville & Granite Bay Housing Trends Tell Us

Updated June 2026

If you’re wondering whether the Placer County housing market is shifting, the latest MetroList statistics suggest a more nuanced answer than many headlines would indicate.

While inventory has increased across portions of the market, buyers remain active, homes are still selling close to or above asking price, and demand continues to support home values throughout much of Placer County.

A closer look at the May 2026 data for Roseville and Granite Bay reveals two distinct markets, each offering unique opportunities for buyers and sellers.

Roseville Real Estate Market Update

The Roseville housing market continues to demonstrate resilience as we move into the summer selling season.

The median sales price increased to $670,000 in May, up from $655,500 in April, reflecting ongoing buyer demand for homes throughout the city. The average sales price also climbed to more than $721,000, one of the highest levels seen over the past year.

Perhaps even more telling is the sales price-to-list price ratio. Roseville homes sold for an average of 100.05% of asking price, indicating that many sellers continue to receive full-price offers and, in some cases, multiple offers.

Inventory has increased modestly, reaching 347 active listings, while months of inventory remains low at approximately 2.03 months, well below the six months generally considered a balanced market.

Key Roseville Market Indicators

  • Median Sales Price: $670,000
  • Average Sales Price: $721,701
  • Sales Price to List Price Ratio: 100.05%
  • Homes Sold: 171
  • Average Days on Market: 42
  • Active Inventory: 347 Homes
  • Months Supply of Inventory: 2.03

What This Means for Roseville Buyers and Sellers

For sellers, conditions remain favorable. Well-priced homes in desirable neighborhoods continue to attract strong buyer interest.

For buyers, inventory has improved compared to previous years, but competition remains significant for turnkey homes and properties located in sought-after communities.

Granite Bay Real Estate Market Update

Granite Bay’s luxury market continues to show strength, though the dynamics differ substantially from Roseville.

While the median sales price dipped to $1,150,000 in May, the statistic is heavily influenced by the relatively small number of monthly transactions. Looking at broader trends, Granite Bay home values remain remarkably stable, with average sales prices exceeding $1.33 million.

The most notable shift occurred in market velocity. Average days on market declined from 59 days in April to just 41 days in May, a significant improvement that suggests buyers are becoming more decisive.

Sales activity increased as well, with 30 homes sold in May, compared to 22 in April.

Inventory remains healthy at 70 active listings, producing approximately 2.33 months of supply, which continues to favor sellers while offering buyers more choices than many neighboring communities.

Key Granite Bay Market Indicators

  • Median Sales Price: $1,150,000
  • Average Sales Price: $1,330,629
  • Sales Price to List Price Ratio: 99.69%
  • Homes Sold: 30
  • Average Days on Market: 41
  • Active Inventory: 70 Homes
  • Months Supply of Inventory: 2.33

What This Means for Granite Bay Buyers and Sellers

For sellers, presentation, pricing strategy, and property condition remain critical. Luxury buyers continue to be selective and informed.

For buyers, Granite Bay offers more inventory and greater negotiating opportunities than many lower-priced markets, though exceptional homes continue to command strong attention.

Frequently Asked Questions About the Placer County Housing Market

Is Placer County currently a buyer’s or seller’s market?

Most of Placer County remains a seller’s market. Roseville currently has approximately 2.03 months of inventory, while Granite Bay has approximately 2.33 months. Both are well below the six-month threshold generally associated with a balanced market.

Are home prices still increasing in Roseville?

Yes. Roseville’s median sales price increased from $655,500 in April to $670,000 in May, while average sales prices also rose significantly.

Is Granite Bay’s luxury market slowing down?

The latest data suggests the opposite. Homes sold faster in May, sales volume increased, and inventory declined. While pricing fluctuates from month to month due to lower transaction volume, overall demand remains healthy.

Are homes still receiving multiple offers?

In Roseville, homes sold for an average of 100.05% of asking price, indicating that competitive bidding remains common for well-priced properties.

Final Thoughts

The latest MetroList statistics suggest that the Placer County housing market remains fundamentally healthy.

Roseville continues to benefit from strong buyer demand, limited inventory, and rising home values. Granite Bay’s luxury market remains stable, with improving market speed and increasing sales activity.

The biggest takeaway is that local market conditions matter more than national headlines. Real estate remains hyper-local, and understanding neighborhood-specific trends is essential when making buying or selling decisions.

If you’re considering buying or selling in Roseville, Granite Bay, or anywhere in Placer County, a detailed market analysis can help you understand how these trends apply to your specific property and goals.

Selling May 19, 2026

The Pricing Mistake That Could Cost You Your Sale

Most sellers come into the market with one number in mind. And it’s often the one that costs them the most. That’s their asking price.

survey from Realtor.com shows about 8 in 10 (80%) of sellers expect to sell at or above their asking price today. But here’s where things get interesting.

In reality, only about 4 out of every 10 (roughly 40%) actually do.

That’s a big gap. And it’s where a lot of sellers get caught off guard. So, why the disconnect? And how can you set yourself up to be one of the 4 in 10 that get top dollar?

Let’s break it down.

What Should You Really Expect To Get for Your House?

That 40% may sound low at first, but it’s not.

If you look back to the last typical year for the housing market (2019), what we’re really seeing is a return to what’s normal (see chart below). If anything, slightly more homeowners are able to sell above list price today compared to 2019:

a graph of a marketIt only feels low because the past few years were anything but typical. Between 2020 and mid-2022, buyer demand was sky-high and the number of homes for sale was at record lows. Almost everything sold over asking.

Now, the market has shifted.

There are more homes for sale. Buyers have more options. And that means they’re more selective about how they spend their money.

In other words, the rules have changed – and pricing like it’s still 2021 is where sellers run into trouble. You have to meet the market where it is if you really want to cash in big.

What Happens When a Home Is Priced Too High

Here’s the reality. It’s easy to think pricing high gives you room to negotiate. But it usually does the opposite.

When your home is priced above what buyers expect, in this market, they don’t negotiate. They move on.

Because buyers notice price first. And if your home doesn’t line up with similar options in your area, it may not even get a showing. And that’s when things start to snowball:

  • A high price gets less interest from buyers.
  • Less interest means fewer offers.
  • And fewer offers usually means more time on the market.

Take a look at this table from the Indiana Association of Realtors. While this data is from one state, the general trend is going to hold true across many markets in the country. It shows that homes listed at or under market value sell fast. But homes priced high? They linger. And that delay comes at a very real cost.

The Price Cut Trap (And How To Avoid It)

When a home sits that long without offers, a lot of sellers will do a price reduction. According to Realtor.com, 16.7% of sellers are going that route today.

But here’s the real problem. Even a price cut doesn’t guarantee a sale.

In fact, some buyers will see a reduction as a sign something’s wrong with the house – even when nothing is.

That’s why data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows the longer a home sits, the bigger that price cut tends to be to attract buyers back:

So, what starts as a strategy to “leave room” for negotiate can end up costing you more in the long run.

Why Pricing Right from Day One Matters

Even though listing at or even just shy of market value may sound counter intuitive if you’re looking to get as much money for your house as possible, a lot of the time it really is the best strategy.

Because the goal isn’t just to list your house to see what price sticks. It’s to price it in a way that creates demand from day one.

NAR puts it best:

“While some sellers are pricing their homes higher than ever, a more ‘goldilocks’ frame of mind is a better approach to avoid price cuts and lingering time on the market.”

In other words, there’s a sweet spot. Too high, and buyers disappear. Too low, and they question the value.

But right in the middle? That’s where the magic happens.

And that’s where the right agent comes in.

They help you understand what buyers are actually paying right now, how your home compares, and how to price it so it stands out immediately. And in today’s market, that strategy is the difference between:

  1. Listing high, watching it sit, and selling for less later.
  2. Or, pricing it right, creating competition, and putting yourself in a position to win from the start.

Bottom Line

A lot of homeowners think they can list high now and negotiate later, but that’s a mistake that costs them. And it’s the reason only 4 out of every 10 sellers are getting their asking price or more.

If you want to be in that group, it starts with getting the price right from day one.

 

Keeping Current Matters
Market Trends May 12, 2026

Placer County Real Estate Market Update: Is the Roseville & Granite Bay Housing Market Shifting in 2026?

Is the Placer County Real Estate Market Shifting? What Roseville & Granite Bay Numbers Reveal

If you’re wondering whether the Placer County real estate market is shifting, the short answer is: yes, but differently depending on location and price point. The latest MetroList data for Roseville and Granite Bay real estate shows a market that remains active, competitive in some areas, and more balanced in others.

For homeowners considering selling, buyers trying to time the market, or anyone watching local housing trends, the April 2026 numbers offer important insights into where conditions may be headed.

Roseville Real Estate Market Update: Buyer Demand Remains Strong

The Roseville housing market continues to show resilience, particularly for homes that are priced correctly and well-prepared for market.

One of the strongest indicators of continued demand is market speed. Homes in Roseville sold faster in April, with average days on market improving from 27 days in March to 25 days in April. While that may seem like a small change, it reflects increased buyer urgency in an environment where desirable homes continue to attract attention quickly.

Another important signal is pricing performance. The sales price-to-list price ratio climbed to 102.05%, meaning many homes sold at or above asking price. This often indicates competitive buyer behavior and reinforces the importance of strategic pricing for sellers.

Inventory remains limited as well. Roseville currently sits at approximately 1.28 months of housing supply, which still leans toward a seller’s market. Lower inventory levels can create additional pressure on buyers, particularly in highly desirable neighborhoods or move-in-ready price points.

Perhaps most notable, however, is the increase in pricing. The median home price in Roseville increased to $812,500 in April, signaling continued demand and buyer confidence despite affordability pressures and changing interest rate conversations.

What This Means for Roseville Buyers and Sellers

For sellers: Proper preparation, strategic pricing, and strong marketing remain essential. While demand is healthy, buyers are still selective and savvy.

For buyers: Waiting for the “perfect” opportunity may carry risks in competitive segments of the market. Having financing, timelines, and priorities clearly defined can help buyers act quickly when the right home becomes available.

Granite Bay Real Estate Market Update: Luxury Market Shows Measured Strength

The Granite Bay real estate market continues to perform differently than nearby communities, largely due to its luxury and upper-end housing profile.

In April, average days on market improved from 62 days to 52 days, suggesting increased buyer activity and stronger engagement for properly positioned homes.

At the same time, new listings declined nearly 11% month-over-month, limiting fresh inventory entering the market. Yet unlike Roseville, Granite Bay offers a more balanced environment between buyers and sellers, with approximately 3.65 months of inventory available.

The median home price climbed to $1,535,000, reinforcing continued demand for high-end homes in one of Placer County’s most desirable communities.

However, Granite Bay buyers are negotiating more selectively than in previous years. Homes sold at an average of 99.69% of list price, indicating that while demand remains healthy, pricing strategy and presentation matter significantly more in today’s market.

What This Means for Granite Bay Buyers and Sellers

For sellers: Luxury buyers continue to prioritize quality, condition, location, and pricing. Overpricing can lead to longer market times, while properly positioned homes still generate meaningful interest.

For buyers: Granite Bay may offer more opportunities for thoughtful negotiation compared to lower inventory markets, but standout properties continue to move when priced appropriately.

Frequently Asked Questions About the Placer County Housing Market

Is Placer County a buyer’s or seller’s market?

It depends on the city and price range. Roseville currently leans more toward a seller’s market due to limited inventory and homes selling above asking price, while Granite Bay is more balanced, giving buyers somewhat greater negotiating leverage.

Are home prices still increasing in Roseville and Granite Bay?

Based on the latest MetroList data, median home prices increased in both communities during April 2026, though market conditions vary depending on property type, neighborhood, and price point.

Are homes selling quickly in Placer County?

In many segments, yes. Roseville homes sold faster in April, while Granite Bay also experienced improved market speed, especially for well-priced homes.

Final Thoughts: Hyper-Local Market Knowledge Matters

The biggest takeaway from the latest Placer County real estate statistics is that there is no one-size-fits-all market. Roseville and Granite Bay are behaving differently, and success for buyers and sellers increasingly depends on understanding local inventory trends, pricing patterns, and buyer behavior.

Real estate is hyper-local, and the headlines rarely tell the full story. Whether you are considering buying, selling, or simply planning ahead, understanding neighborhood-level trends can help you make informed decisions with confidence.

Buying May 6, 2026

Rent or Buy? The Real Tradeoff Most People Don’t Talk About

You’ve probably asked yourself lately: Is it even worth trying to buy a home right now? It’s a question a lot of people are asking.

With today’s home prices and mortgage rates, renting can feel like the easier path. In some cases, it might even seem like the only realistic option right now. And if that’s where you are, there’s nothing wrong with that.

But if you’re weighing the decision, there’s one part of the conversation that doesn’t get talked about enough.

It’s what each choice does for your future.

What Renting Really Gets You (And What It Doesn’t)

Depending on your situation, renting does have some advantages:

  • Lower upfront costs.
  • Less responsibility.
  • More flexibility to move when you want.

But even with those benefits, a Bank of America survey found 70% of aspiring homeowners worry about what long-term renting means for their future. And that concern comes down to one thing: you’re not building anything for your future. As Yahoo Finance explains:

“Paying rent doesn’t build equity. You get a place to live, but no ownership stake, no price appreciation, and no asset to leverage for future borrowing or investment.”

So, while renting may feel easier, the flexibility you get comes at a cost.

How Homeownership Builds Your Wealth Over Time

On the other hand, owning a home is one of the most consistent ways people build wealth over time. Why? When you’re a homeowner, you gain something called equity. That’s the difference between what your home is worth and what you owe.

That equity grows with every monthly payment you make. It also gets a boost as home values go up through the years – and it adds up quicker than you may think.

Today, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) says the average homeowner’s net worth is 43X greater than that of a renter:

a graph of a number of people

The dollars in the visual don’t lie. On average, here’s how net worth compares:

  • Homeowners: $430k
  • Renters: $10k

And it’s not because homeowners make wildly different decisions day to day. It’s because over time, one path builds something, and the other doesn’t.

So sure, buying comes with some upfront costs and more responsibility. But it’s basically a savings account you can live in.

The Gap Is Growing Over Time

And here’s something else interesting. That net worth gap between renters and homeowners has been widening over time, not shrinking.

If you look back at the reports on net worth through the years, you can see the gap is growing as homeowners gain wealth and renters stay stuck in the rental trap (see graph below):

a graph of green and blue bars

Even in 2025, when home prices were moderating, homeowners still gained even more ground. And that tells you something important:

When you can afford it and you’re ready for the responsibility, history shows buying is usually worth it in the long run. Because either way, you’re paying for someone’s mortgage and building someone’s net worth.

When you rent, it’s your landlord’s mortgage – not yours. But when you buy? Your monthly payments help build equity.

The question is: whose do you want to pay? Yours or theirs?

So, Should You Buy a Home Now?

The short answer is, it depends on your situation.

While the long-term benefits of buying are clear, that doesn’t mean the timing is right for everyone right now. And that’s okay. You should only buy a home once you’re ready and the numbers work for you.

But whether you’re looking to buy now or planning for the future, the first step is the same. You should have a quick conversation with a local real estate agent about your goals, timeline, and budget.

They can help you run the numbers and see what’s realistic. You may find buying is closer than you thought. And if not, you’ll at least know exactly what it will take to get there.

Because the sooner you have a plan, the sooner you can decide when it makes sense, instead of wondering if it ever will.

Bottom Line

Renting may feel more do-able today. But over time, it could cost you.

If you want to ditch renting and start building something for your future, it starts with a simple conversation. Connect me to talk about your specific goals, and explore your options – so you’re ready when the time is right for you.

 

Keeping Current Matters