According to Ryan Lundquist over at the Sacramento Appraisal Blog, here are THINGS TO WATCH IN 2025:
Sellers will continue to thaw out: Last year we saw more listings come to the market. In fact, we had about 3,500 more new listings than 2023 in the region. But the wild part is we were still missing over 11,500 new listings from the pre-2020 normal level. Can you see why prices have remained higher? Anyway, right now it looks like 2023 was a bottom for seller inactivity, which is a good thing. This year I expect for new listings in 2025 to outpace 2024 levels as lifestyle moves come up for sellers. We still won’t be anywhere close to a normal number of listings though.
New construction will do well again this year: Locally, I expect new construction to still do well. That may not be the vibe in some markets around the country, but 2024 was one of the strongest years we’ve seen over the past decade locally. Part of the success comes from buyers aching for quality inventory, so builders have a captive audience. But let’s be real that the huge x-factor is builders offering incentives.
Buyer demand will thaw out more: In 2024, we did better than 2023 and 2007. I know that’s not a huge flex, but having about 6% more closed sales in the region feels like a real win. What this means is we had over one thousand more buyers purchase homes last year. Look, the math still won’t work for many people, so don’t expect the floodgates of volume to open up in 2025, but we should get more buyers as long as rates hover around 7% instead of going higher.
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